Personal Chair
- About
-
- Email Address
- justin.travis@abdn.ac.uk
- Telephone Number
- +44 (0)1224 274483
- Office Address
Room 407 Zoology Building
- School/Department
- School of Biological Sciences
Biography
2006 – Lecturer (from 2008, Senior lecturer, and from, 2013 Professor) in Ecological and Evolutionary Modellinf, University of Aberdeen.
2004 – 2006 Senior Scientific Officer, NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Banchory, UK
2001- 2004 University of St Andrews, UK. Research Fellow in the Centre for Conservation Science.
1999 -2001 University of Lund, Sweden, Research fellow within the Climate Impacts Group
Degrees: PhD 1999 Imperial College London. MSc 1996 University of York. BSc(hons)1994 University of York
Memberships and Affiliations
- Internal Memberships
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Advisor of Studies ( 2009 - ).
- External Memberships
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Full member of NERC Peer Review College ( 2011 - ).
Subject Editor for Oikos ( 2010 - ).
Associate Editor for BMC Ecology ( 2011 - ).
- Research
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Research Overview
Much of my research uses models to study the population and evolutionary dynamics of spatially structured populations. Key interests include (1) the evolutionary ecology and population genetics of range expansions, (2) incorporating greater realism into the dispersal process within spatial population models, (3) evolvability (including the causes and consequences of mutation rate) and (4) the evolutionary ecology of longevity. While most of my group's work focusses on using stochastic individual-based models, I am increasingly interested in how these can be combined both with modern statistical methods (including Bayesian approaches) and analytical approximations to gain greater insights and predictive capabilities.
Funding and Grants
Substantial Grants Awarded Since 2012:
2018-2022 NERC Research Grant, "Forecasting biodiversity losses in Wallacea from ecological and evolutionary patterns and processes". PI of international team. (£850,000)
2018-2022 BBSRC Studentship Grant, "Using artificial intelligence to improve the forecast for biodiversity under environmental change" (£99,000)
2017-2021 NERC Research Grant, “Linking demographic theory and data to forecast the dynamics of spatially-structured seasonally-mobile populations” (£650,000). Co-I responsible for developing mechanistic migration models.
2017-2019 Marie Curie International Fellowship (Є215,000) Scientist in charge for Dr Aurore Ponchon.
2015-2016 STFC Newton AgriTech (£350,000) Local PI responsible for systems modelling of fire risk in China.
2015-2017 Marie Curie International Fellowship (Є220,000). Scientist in Charge for Dr Job Aben.
2012-2014 Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship (Є190,000). Scientist in Charge for Dr Kamil Barton.
2012-2015 NERC Responsive, PI “Managing Landscapes for Biodiversity Under Climate Change” (£355,000)
- Teaching
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Teaching Responsibilities
Most of my teaching is at Masters level. In particular, I co-ordinate two modules, one on Population Ecology and one on Advanced Ecological Modelling. At undergraduate level, I contribute to several courses at both 3rd and 4th year, most substantially to 3rd year Population Ecology where I introduce ecological modelling.
Teaching Philosophy: I enjoy the challenge of making quantitative topics and programming accessible to as many students as possible, and this is the focus of most of my teaching. I believe that almost all students are capable of learning to program, and that many obtain considerable satisfaction from the realisation that they can master it. I am interested in employing active learning methods within quantitative courses that have traditionally relied heavily on often dry lectures. In my Masters teaching I have been using 'learning through teaching' methods where individuals are each guided in putting together material to teach their peers about a particular aspect of modeling. This is proving a very successful way of improving understanding and creates considerable enthusiasm.
- Publications
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Page 2 of 4 Results 51 to 100 of 165
Behavioural synchronization of large-scale animal movements - disperse alone, but migrate together?
Biological Reviews, vol. 92, no. 3, pp. 1275-1296Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/brv.12279
Eco-evolutionary dynamics in fragmented landscapes
Ecography, vol. 40, no. 1, pp. 9–25Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.02537
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/9606/1/Legrand_et_al_2016_Ecography.pdf
Evolution of dispersal strategies and dispersal syndromes in fragmented landscapes
Ecography, vol. 40, no. 1, pp. 56-73Contributions to Journals: ArticlesEmerging Opportunities for Landscape Ecological Modelling
Current Landscape Ecology Reports, vol. 1, no. 4, pp. 146–167Contributions to Journals: ArticlesSpread rates on fragmented landscapes: the interacting roles of demography, dispersal and habitat availability
Diversity and Distributions, vol. 22, no. 12, pp. 1266-1275Contributions to Journals: ArticlesThe Evolution of Male-Biased Dispersal under the Joint Selective Forces of Inbreeding Load and Demographic and Environmental Stochasticity
The American Naturalist, vol. 188, no. 4, pp. 423-433Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/688170
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/7339/3/688170.pdf
Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change
Science, vol. 353, no. 6304, aad8466Contributions to Journals: ArticlesThe importance of realistic dispersal models in planning for conservation: application of a novel modelling platform to evaluate management scenarios in an Afrotropical biodiversity hotspot
Journal of Applied Ecology, vol. 53, no. 4, pp. 1055-1065Contributions to Journals: ArticlesA trait-based approach for predicting species responses to environmental change from sparse data: how well might terrestrial mammals track climate change?
Global Change Biology, vol. 22, no. 7, pp. 2415-2424Contributions to Journals: ArticlesUsing individual tracking data to validate the predictions of species distribution models
Diversity and Distributions, vol. 22, no. 6, pp. 682-693Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12437
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8740/5/MainDocument.pdf
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8740/2/APPENDIX_S1.docx
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8740/4/APPENDIX_S2.docx
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8740/1/APPENDIX_S3.docx
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8740/3/APPENDIX_S4.docx
Community dynamics under environmental change: How can next generation mechanistic models improve projections of species distributions?
Ecological Modelling, vol. 326, pp. 63-74Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.11.007
The use of an unsupervised learning approach for characterizing latent behaviors in accelerometer data
Ecology and Evolution, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 727–741Contributions to Journals: ArticlesModels of Dispersal Evolution Highlight Several Important Issues in Evolutionary and Ecological Modeling
The American Naturalist, vol. 187, no. 1, pp. 143-150Contributions to Journals: Letters- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/684191
Modelling potential success of conservation translocations of a specialist grassland butterfly
Biological Conservation, vol. 192, pp. 200-206Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.09.028
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
A multi-species modelling approach to examine the impact of alternative climate change adaptation strategies on range shifting ability in a fragmented landscape
Ecological Informatics, vol. 30, pp. 222-229Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2015.06.004
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Dispersal asymmetries and deleterious mutations influence metapopulation persistence and range dynamics
Evolutionary Ecology, vol. 29, no. 6, pp. 833-850Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10682-015-9777-4
A stochastic movement simulator improves estimates of landscape connectivity
Ecology, vol. 96, no. 8, pp. 2203-2213Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1890/14-1690.1
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/5082/1/14_1690_2E1.pdf
Range expansion of an invasive species through a heterogeneous landscape - the case of American mink in Scotland
Diversity and Distributions, vol. 21, no. 8, pp. 888-900Contributions to Journals: ArticlesSite fidelity, survival and conservation options for the threatened flapper skate (Dipturus cf. intermedia)
Aquatic Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems, vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 6-20Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/aqc.2472
Modelling conservation conflicts
Conflicts in Conservation: Navigating Towards Solutions. Cambridge University Press, pp. 195-211, 17 pagesChapters in Books, Reports and Conference Proceedings: Chapters- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781139084574.015
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Mutation accumulation and the formation of range limits
Biology Letters, vol. 11, no. 1, 20140871Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2014.0871
ALADYN - a spatially explicit, allelic model for simulating adaptive dynamics
Ecography, vol. 37, no. 12, pp. 1288-1291Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.00680
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8011/1/Schiffers_et_al_2014_Ecography.pdf
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Changes in species' distributions during and after environmental change: Which eco-evolutionary processes matter more?
Ecography, vol. 37, no. 12, pp. 1210-1217Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.01194
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8012/1/Dytham_et_al_2014_Ecography.pdf
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Landscape structure and genetic architecture jointly impact rates of niche evolution
Ecography, vol. 37, no. 12, pp. 1218-1229Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.00768
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8015/1/Schiffers_et_al_2014_Ecography_1_.pdf
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Mechanistic modelling of animal dispersal offers new insights into range expansion dynamics across fragmented landscapes
Ecography, vol. 37, no. 12, pp. 1240-1253Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.01041
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8013/1/Bocedi_et_al_2014_Ecography.pdf
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts
Ecography, vol. 37, no. 12, pp. 1184-1197Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.00580
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/8014/1/Snell_et_al_2014_Ecography.pdf
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Modelling Hen Harrier Dynamics to Inform Human-Wildlife Conflict Resolution: A Spatially-Realistic, Individual-Based Approach
PloS ONE, vol. 9, no. 11, 112492Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0112492
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/4257/1/fetchObject.pdf
Impacts of land cover data selection and trait parameterisation on dynamic modelling of species' range expansion
PloS ONE, vol. 9, no. 9, e108436Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0108436
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/4097/1/PlosOne_108436.pdf
Hugging the hedges: Might agri-environment manipulations affect landscape permeability for hedgehogs?
Biological Conservation, vol. 176, pp. 109-116Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2014.05.015
Inter-individual variability in dispersal behaviours impacts connectivity estimates
Oikos, vol. 123, no. 8, pp. 923-932Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.01248
Simple individual-based models effectively represent Afrotropical forest bird movement in complex landscapes
Journal of Applied Ecology, vol. 51, no. 3, pp. 693-702Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12224
RangeShifter: a platform for modelling spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species' responses to environmental changes
Methods in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 388-396Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12162
Between migration load and evolutionary rescue: dispersal, adaptation and the response of spatially structured populations to environmental change
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological Sciences, vol. 281, no. 1778, 20132795Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.2795
Prospecting and dispersal: their eco-evolutionary dynamics and implications for population patterns
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological Sciences, vol. 281, no. 1778, 20132851Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.2851
Inter-annual variability influences the eco-evolutionary dynamics of range-shifting
PeerJ, vol. 1, pp. e228Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.228
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/4099/1/PeerJ_228.pdf
Modelling foraging movements of diving predators: A theoretical study exploring the effect of heterogeneous landscapes on foraging efficiency
PeerJ, vol. 2, e544Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.544
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/4153/1/544.pdf
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Predictive systems ecology
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological Sciences, vol. 280, no. 1771, 20131452Contributions to Journals: Literature ReviewsWhen do young birds disperse?: Tests from studies of golden eagles in Scotland
BMC Ecology, vol. 13, 42Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6785-13-42
- [OPEN ACCESS] http://aura.abdn.ac.uk/bitstream/2164/3690/1/Why_do_young.pdf
Dispersal and species' responses to climate change
Oikos, vol. 122, no. 11, pp. 1532-1540Contributions to Journals: Literature Reviews- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2013.00399.x
Ideal free distribution of fixed dispersal phenotypes in a wing dimorphic beetle in heterogeneous landscapes
Ecology, vol. 94, no. 11, pp. 2487-2497Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1890/12-1922.1
Red noise increases extinction risk during rapid climate change
Diversity and Distributions, vol. 19, no. 7, pp. 815-824Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12038
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Fitting complex ecological point process models with integrated nested Laplace approximation
Methods in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 305-315Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.12017
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Eco-evolutionary dynamics of range shifts: elastic margins and critical thresholds
Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 321, pp. 1-7Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.12.004
Interspecific interactions affect species and community responses to climate shifts
Oikos, vol. 122, no. 3, pp. 358-366Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2012.20465.x
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Evolution of predator dispersal in relation to spatio-temporal prey dynamics: how not to get stuck in the wrong place!
PloS ONE, vol. 8, no. 2, e54453Contributions to Journals: ArticlesMore rapid climate change promotes evolutionary rescue through selection for increased dispersal distance
Evolutionary Applications, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 353-364Contributions to Journals: ArticlesLimited evolutionary rescue of locally adapted populations facing climate change
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, vol. 368, no. 1610, 20120083Contributions to Journals: ArticlesCritical Scales for Long-Term Socio-ecological Biodiversity Research
Long Term Socio-Ecological Research: Studies in Society-Nature Interactions Across Spatial and Temporal Scales. Singh, S., Haberl, H., Chertow, M., Mirtl, M., Schmid, M. (eds.). Springer Netherlands, pp. 123-138, 16 pagesChapters in Books, Reports and Conference Proceedings: Chapters- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1177-8_6
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Effects of local adaptation and interspecific competition on species' responses to climate change
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, vol. 1297, no. 1, pp. 83-97Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.12211
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus
Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions
Journal of Ecology, vol. 101, no. 1, pp. 58-67Contributions to Journals: Articles- [ONLINE] DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12025
- [ONLINE] View publication in Scopus